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Useful summary of Big Pharma and Blockbusters
I’m hoping subscribers will find the following useful in understanding the massive error of judgement Big Pharma made when it began to chase blockbuster profits in the early 1980s. This short article was written in 2019, just after Taming the Big Pharma Monster by Speaking Truth to Power published.
You may not realise it, or even believe this, but I’m a firm believer that the motivation for the COVID plandemic came about because Pfizer, GSK, AstraZeneca et al could not keep delivering on investor expections without committing fraud.
BioNTech and Moderna were invented (by Gates/Fauci/Farrar/Vallance/Whitty) to fool people into thinking they were new guys on the block with magic powers, whereas they were, and still are, just a collection of guys in suits and dresses pretending to be industry executives. This is the article:
BIG PHARMA – FULSOME PLUM OR DRIED-UP PRUNE?
It’s a dried-up prune!
Truely, Big Pharma is a dried-up prune compared to the fulsome plum it used to be.
In the pre-blockbuster era, discovering and developing drugs was the exclusive domain of large, predominantly vertically integrated pharmaceutical companies. They were the ones that generated and owned all the clinical and non-clinical data, compiled the license applications, manufactured the test materials, liaised with regulatory bodies and generally exercised stewardship of the many and complex activities required to develop and market a drug. They sponsored the clinical trials and if and when a marketing authorisation (MA) was approved, they maintained in-house company structures to ensure safety, efficacy and quality of their products, under their statutory obligations as marketing authorisation holder (MAH).
In those days, people all worked for the same company, sharing the pain and sweet smell of success.
Having retrenched into opposite ends of the prescription drug life-cycle in search of blockbusters, Big Pharma has left most of the work of testing, developing, making, storing, moving, distributing and reporting issues with prescription medicines to third party service providers.
Having abandoned vertical integration and the corresponding control over drug development and supply, what is Pharma doing to stay afloat?
What is Big Pharma doing about it?
...employing a number of tactics to maintain revenues from the declining pipeline of blockbusters. Health Economics and Outcomes Research (HEOR) has become a new tool in the box. The reluctance of payers to stump up the eye watering prices has given rise to market access groups, tasked with justifying why prices are so high, based on HEOR arguments.
Also in favour is the targeting of perceived less challenging regulatory environments and patient populations—rare diseases, orphan indications and all things cancer. The unfortunate side-effect of this is that prices have to be astronomic because of the very small volumes.
Pharma, it seems, is playing the same tune on a different instrument. Only this time, the instrument is broken; all Pharma has left to play on are massive discovery research teams and sales & marketing muscle. The crucial body of the product development instrument has completely lost its puff.
With such little capability in drug development, important debilitating diseases, such as Alzheimer’s, sepsis and bacterial infections (AMR) have fallen out of favour. These are no longer the cherries that Pharma wants to pick, and the world is suffering because of it.
Service providers and generics have soared
Meanwhile, on the other side of the fence, the fledgling service providers that were, flew the nest years ago and grew into fully formed adults, soaring like eagles.
Clinical research organisations (CROs) have been and still are consolidating, becoming big, powerful providers of clinical and non-clinical services.
Massive consolidation has also taken place in the contract development and manufacture organisation (CDMO) world, and evidence suggests they are moving into additional areas of the value chain.
The specialist third party logistics companies have also been part of the consolidation, as the two main players have been acquired by giant corporations, one from inside Pharma and one from outside.
The finished product distributors of Pharma products are now mega corporations, on the back of, yes, you guessed it, consolidation. Just three share nearly 90% of the market on each side of the pond. There has been forward integration (pharmacies) and reverse integration (logistics specialists) going on for some time and also moves into broader service offerings to the industry.
The generics industry has grown enormously on the back of payer demands for cheaper drugs. Up to 90% of drugs now sold in the US and UK are generic. Ironically, in later times, the intense competition for out-of-patent drugs has subsided, which has led to spiralling rises in generic drug prices. This again has been attributed to M&A activity leading to far less, bigger players on the field being able to pick and choose what they supply.
WHAT NEXT FOR PHARMA?
It should now be clear from what we have just heard that the large R&D based companies developing and selling drugs (Big Pharma) have lost contact with an industry it once dominated. As drug development business models have become increasingly virtual, isolated and lacking in physical presence, the issues have risen to boiling point, and the bubbles have reached the top.
We must therefore conclude that things have gone horribly wrong for large swathes of stakeholders in the world of prescription medicines...
...re-integration is the only way forward. Big Pharma MUST start buying back the assets necessary for the development and commercialisation of prescription medicine, otherwise the prune will shrink to a raisin and eventually disappear from view...
That was written in 2019!
Now, in 2023, the raisins have appeared in the form of BioNTech and Moderna. They employ no more people than your local grocery store, yet Moderna has just sponsored the US Open Tennis Champioship! What will BioNTech be sponsoring next, the Olympic Games???
Quick reminder
Oh, and just a quick reminder. THE COVID-19 SUPPLY CHAIN: Fact not Fiction is beginning to gain traction now. It has sold in:
US (largest seller)
UK
Canada
France
Germany
Austrailia
The feedback has been excellent, and readers only have to part with $5 or $10 to get the facts and evidence that prove, beyond even unreasonable doubt, that the C19 supply chains have been akin to the Wild West over the last three years.
That’s it for now,
Hedley :O)
BIG PHARMA – FULSOME PLUM OR DRIED-UP PRUNE?
The golden period for medicinal discovery and introductions was the 50s to 80s. The pharma was self less, there was good research back up from academics and to be frank, there was enough money to be made by the industry. It was a win win situation for all. Hundreds of drugs for every common and difficult indications were designed, developed and introduced. Many of them are still widely used, having become very affordable after their patents expiry. It is said that some 3000 odd drugs are in currency now for all types of indications. The scenario is different now from what it was in those decades. Big pharma has to depend on block buster new introductions and they are desperate and do not mind short circuiting the market process. Even before it was recognised, but covid 19 has proved that repurposing existing drugs has great potential. The future of medicines lie unlocking the multiple role potential of existing drugs, not on the odd discoveries. Only big pharma has the wherewithal to unlock this potential, but need to devise new marketing strategies to monetise this technical work. In fact, academics and research institutions have a greater practical role in realising this huge potential and small companies will have depend on their support. This is how I see the medicinal scene working out in the next two decades, provided research science reads this signal correctly. If things unfold well, wonderful times are ahead for users and patients, as medicines for difficult indications will be available from common, affordable streams. The dominance of a handful will be a thing of the past.
moderna has a massive pipeline currently of preclin & clin staged assets. it is 1 of the biggest 'hire-ers' at the moment:
https://www.biospace.com/article/top-12-biotech-companies-hiring-now/?keywords=layoff&utm_campaign=Newsletter%20%7C%20CareerInsider&utm_medium=email&_hsmi=274275651&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-93HvCjtMaTX5DxWWjOYcM2Dqes7A-I-htQlWlcJFnZQYuWa3gq0WWFXFTLyOtdEX780jX96vhyxXSKUeq1hlcx8E2iwA&utm_content=274275651&utm_source=hs_email
it also just publicized effectiveness (increase antibody titters) of its mrna based flu shot in the clinic ph1/2...
https://investors.modernatx.com/news/news-details/2023/Moderna-Expands-the-Field-of-mRNA-Medicine-with-Positive-Clinical-Results-Across-Cancer-Rare-Disease-and-Infectious-Disease/default.aspx
"Company's flu vaccine, mRNA-1010, met its primary endpoint in Phase 3 trial; separate Phase 1/2 data demonstrated higher HAI titers than Fluzone HD"
broad review of its therapeutic aims:
https://www.biopharmadive.com/news/moderna-drug-sales-forecast-flu-rsv-cancer-rare/693540/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Issue:%202023-09-14%20BioPharma%20Dive%20%5Bissue:54511%5D&utm_term=BioPharma%20Dive
recent changes in pipeline:
https://endpts.com/moderna-cuts-four-programs-in-vaccines-cancer-and-heart-failure-as-it-increases-prioritizes-pipeline/
still believing that there will be BIG consolidation in the usa biopharma market if/when valuations of pre-revenue companies decrease. all of the winners from the covid chaos (pfizer, moderna, gilead) will likely buy late phase clinical staged biopharmas to sure up revenues.
pfizer's recent acquisition activity includes: (just the past 4 yrs)
Array BioPharma: Acquired in June 2019 for $11.4 billion.
Theravance Biopharma: Acquired in January 2020 for $5.4 billion.
Arena Pharmaceuticals: Acquired in March 2022 for $6.7 billion.
Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Company Ltd.: Acquired in May 2022 for $148.50 per share in cash, for a total equity value of approximately $11.4 billion.